Portfolio Due Week 6.

• General requirements:
  • Each student will keep a portfolio of her/his work to be turned in at the end of the quarter. The purpose of the portfolio is to demonstrate your effort and understanding of the material. Some things that the portfolio might contain:
    • Visual organizer for each chapter
    • Worked out examples with problem statements
    • Reflections
    • Lesson plans and handouts from presentations
    • Notes taken during class
    • Anything else you feel helps me to assess your understanding of the material presented in the class.

Chapter 17 - Four Main Ideas

• What is probability?
• What does random mean?
• What is an outcome?
• What is an event?
• Myths
• Surprise meeting
• Winning the lottery twice
• Cancer Clusters
• Law of Averages
• Personal Probability
• Probability and Risk

• 17.2 – Pennies Falling Over
• 17.7 – From Words to Probability
• 17.9 – Will You Have An Accident?
• 17.18 – The Law of Averages
• 17.21, 22 – Reacting to Risks
• 17.23 – What Probability Doesn’t Say

Chapter 18 – Probability Models

• Rules
• Any probability is between 0 and 1 inclusively.
• The probability of all possible outcomes must sum to one.
• The probability that an event doesn’t happen is one minus the probability that it does.
• If two events have no out comes in common, the probability that either will occur is the sum of their individual probabilities.
• Probability models for sampling
• The Critical Examples
• Example 3 – A sampling distribution
• Example 4 – Using normal percentiles
• Problem s 18.13, 18.15 – Polling women
• Problems 18.14, 18.16 – What will die of?
• 18.17 – Do you jog?
• 18.18 – Applying to college
• 18.19 – Generating a sampling distribution

 

Suggested Homework for 4/16/04

• Problems 18.14, 18.16 – What will you die of?
• 18.17 – Do you jog?
• 18.18 – Applying to college
• 18.19 – Generating a sampling distribution

Reading Assignment for 4/16/04

Chapters 20, 21 - prepare organizer.

Rading Assignment for 4/23/04

• Prepare organizer for chapters 21, 22
• Suggested homework
  • 21.12, 21.13, 21.18, 21.19, 21.21, 21.22