Old arguments, bad statistics -- all on Fox!

Exercise 7.3 states that the U.S. Navy argued that serving in the Spanish-American War was safer than living in New York City. If you think this argument is too old or too outrageous to be used today, then you don't watch Fox News. Look at what Fox's Brit Hume actually said on Fox News in August 2003.

Here is a screenshot of the Fox News website at the end of August 2003. Look carefully at the circled section in the lower right corner. Then see below for the text of what Brit Hume said to justify this claim.


Here's the text of Hume's remarks.

"Two hundred seventy-seven U.S. soldiers have now died in Iraq, which means that statistically speaking U.S. soldiers have less of a chance of dying from all causes in Iraq than citizens have of being murdered in California, which is roughly the same geographical size. The most recent statistics indicate California has more than 2300 homicides each year, which means about 6.6 murders each day. Meanwhile, U.S. troops have been in Iraq for 160 days, which means they're incurring about 1.7 deaths, including illness and accidents each day."

How quickly can you refute this argument? (You can take all the numbers Hume quotes as fact. The numbers aren't the problem. The logic is.)